Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn ...

Sign up for The Media Today, CJR’s daily newsletter. A study by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global ...

In school, we are trained to think that math problems always have one correct answer. But this is not necessarily true for problems dealing with probability, if the method used to reach the described ...

Future events are far from certain in the business world. This is especially true for smaller businesses, which tend to have more volatility than larger organizations, or newer businesses without a ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

Source: Thunder Bay, Canada. Used with permission of Dan Hunt, MD. Coincidences attract our attention because they seem weird, odd, or unlikely. Their improbability stimulates wonder—“what are the ...

The solution to this month’s puzzle examines the use of abstract probabilities as an antidote to real-world ignorance. Read Later The second Insights puzzle, “The Slippery Eel of Probability,” was ...