We consider a compound Poisson process whose jumps are modelled as a sequence of positive, integer-valued, dependent random variables, W1, W2,..., viewed as insurance claim amounts. The number of ...

Research of the probability and statistics group includes particle systems, theoretical statistics, non-conventional random walks, random matrix theory, and random polynomials. Research interests also ...

Survey sampling and estimation methods form the cornerstone of modern statistical inference, underpinning research across the social, medical, and natural sciences. At their heart, these methods ...

Probability theory has long provided a rigorous framework for quantifying uncertainty, yet its extension to infinite sets introduces profound conceptual challenges and opportunities. Contemporary ...

After my post the other day on tracking public opinion with biased polls, someone pointed me to this 2011 article by David Yeager, Jon Krosnick, LinChiat Chang, Harold Javitz, Matthew Levendusky, ...

Making management decisions based solely on probability is useful when you can determine that the outcomes of your decisions are, for the most part, predictable based on your own or others' past ...